All news · n=33 · sample
PPI m/m
First-minute move · last 12 months
55p
quiet minute ~11p
Biggest swing within 15 min
165p
without 2 followed by another release within 15 min
Gold higher 15 min later
17/27
63% · chance ~50% · without 6 followed by another release within 15 min
After the spike (5–60 min) the price kept going
8/27
chance ~50%
Above forecast → up
40%
n=10
Below forecast → up
69%
n=13
Bright: a direction that reliably differs from chance (p<0.01). Muted: could be chance.
Verdict: Moderate mover: typical first-minute move 55 pips over the last 12 months (n=12), against ~11 in a quiet minute at that hour · no reliable direction – the move is mixed.
Does the spike keep going or go back? · 27 releases with no other release within the hour
Each release is flipped so that its spike points up, otherwise rises and falls would cancel out. That makes even a random price look like it rose here, so the verdict, not the height of the line, says whether the move goes on.
Where the price is 15 min later · 27 releases with no other release within 15 min
Recent releases
All 33 releases
- 2026-10-15above forecast1 min −97p · 15 min later −80p
- 2026-09-10in line with forecast1 min −34p · 15 min later −222panother release 15 min later
- 2026-08-13below forecast1 min −12p · 15 min later +28p
- 2026-07-15below forecast1 min +101p · 15 min later +237p
- 2026-06-11above forecast1 min +36p · 15 min later +68panother release 15 min later
- 2026-05-13above forecast1 min −40p · 15 min later −19p
- 2026-04-14below forecast1 min +11p · 15 min later −3p
- 2026-03-18above forecast1 min −88p · 15 min later −231p
- 2026-02-27above forecast1 min −120p · 15 min later −188p
- 2026-01-301 min −106p · 15 min later +13p
- 2026-01-141 min −3p · 15 min later +41p
- 2025-11-25in line with forecast1 min +69p · 15 min later +43p
- 2025-09-10below forecast1 min +69p · 15 min later +24p
- 2025-08-14above forecast1 min −79p · 15 min later +23p
- 2025-07-16below forecast1 min +19p · 15 min later −7p
- 2025-06-12below forecast1 min +33p · 15 min later +41p
- 2025-05-15below forecast1 min +23p · 15 min later +13panother release 10 min later
- 2025-04-11below forecast1 min +37p · 15 min later +4p
- 2025-03-13below forecast1 min +51p · 15 min later +41p
- 2025-02-13above forecast1 min −7p · 15 min later +16p
- 2025-01-14below forecast1 min +59p · 15 min later −12p
- 2024-12-12above forecast1 min +22p · 15 min later −39panother release 15 min later
- 2024-11-14in line with forecast1 min −21p · 15 min later +27p
- 2024-10-11below forecast1 min +9p · 15 min later −41p
- 2024-09-12above forecast1 min −6p · 15 min later +127panother release 15 min later
- 2024-08-13below forecast1 min +25p · 15 min later +57p
- 2024-07-12above forecast1 min −66p · 15 min later −96p
- 2024-06-13below forecast1 min +97p · 15 min later +118p
- 2024-05-14above forecast1 min −43p · 15 min later +12p
- 2024-04-11below forecast1 min +30p · 15 min later +59panother release 15 min later
- 2024-03-14above forecast1 min −22p · 15 min later +8p
- 2024-02-16above forecast1 min −56p · 15 min later −60p
- 2024-01-12below forecast1 min +46p · 15 min later +64p