All news · n=23 · sample
FOMC Statement
First-minute move · last 12 months
148p
quiet minute ~9p
Biggest swing within 15 min
242p
Gold higher 15 min later
10/23
43% · chance ~50%
After the spike (5–60 min) the price kept going
–
Above forecast → up
–
too few releases
Below forecast → up
–
too few releases
Bright: a direction that reliably differs from chance (p<0.01). Muted: could be chance.
Verdict: Strong mover: typical first-minute move 148 pips over the last 12 months (n=8), against ~9 in a quiet minute at that hour · no reliable direction – the move is mixed.
Does the spike keep going or go back?
Another release always follows within the hour, so no shape is drawn.
Where the price is 15 min later · 23 releases with no other release within 15 min
Recent releases
All 23 releases
- 2026-10-281 min −16p · 15 min later −97p
- 2026-09-161 min −181p · 15 min later −476p
- 2026-07-291 min +329p · 15 min later +375p
- 2026-06-171 min −315p · 15 min later −830p
- 2026-04-291 min −29p · 15 min later −184p
- 2026-03-181 min +64p · 15 min later −101p
- 2026-01-281 min +125p · 15 min later +187p
- 2025-12-101 min +171p · 15 min later +208p
- 2025-10-291 min −60p · 15 min later −62p
- 2025-09-171 min −39p · 15 min later +42p
- 2025-07-301 min +18p · 15 min later −17p
- 2025-06-181 min +31p · 15 min later +84p
- 2025-05-071 min +30p · 15 min later +120p
- 2025-03-191 min +61p · 15 min later +88p
- 2025-01-291 min −41p · 15 min later −32p
- 2024-12-181 min −33p · 15 min later −192p
- 2024-11-071 min −18p · 15 min later −9p
- 2024-09-181 min +123p · 15 min later +227p
- 2024-07-311 min −31p · 15 min later −31p
- 2024-06-121 min −45p · 15 min later −83p
- 2024-05-011 min +39p · 15 min later +44p
- 2024-03-201 min +48p · 15 min later +90p
- 2024-01-311 min −49p · 15 min later −20p