All news · n=25 · sample · the other 9 times a bigger release came out in the same minute
JOLTS Job Openings
First-minute move · last 12 months
21p
quiet minute ~14p
Biggest swing within 15 min
126p
Gold higher 15 min later
14/25
56% · chance ~50%
After the spike (5–60 min) the price kept going
10/21
chance ~50%
Above forecast → up
24%
n=17
Below forecast → up
75%
n=16
Bright: a direction that reliably differs from chance (p<0.01). Muted: could be chance.
Verdict: Weak mover: typical first-minute move 21 pips over the last 12 months (n=9), against ~14 in a quiet minute at that hour · no reliable direction – the move is mixed.
Does the spike keep going or go back? · 21 releases with no other release within the hour
Each release is flipped so that its spike points up, otherwise rises and falls would cancel out. That makes even a random price look like it rose here, so the verdict, not the height of the line, says whether the move goes on.
Where the price is 15 min later · 25 releases with no other release within 15 min
Recent releases
All 34 releases
- 2026-11-03above forecast1 min −25p · 15 min later −123p
- 2026-09-29below forecast1 min +60p · 15 min later +87p
- 2026-09-01below forecast1 min −26p · 15 min later +70p
- 2026-08-04below forecast1 min +10p · 15 min later +62p
- 2026-06-30above forecast1 min −15p · 15 min later +170p
- 2026-06-02above forecast1 min +3p · 15 min later +1p
- 2026-05-05above forecast1 min +11p · 15 min later −67p
- 2026-03-31below forecast1 min +97p · 15 min later +37p
- 2026-03-13above forecast1 min −21p · 15 min later −105p
- 2026-02-05below forecast1 min −3p · 15 min later −129p
- 2026-01-07below forecast1 min −48p · 15 min later −168p
- 2025-12-09above forecast1 min −47p · 15 min later −64p
- 2025-09-30above forecast1 min +8p · 15 min later +231p
- 2025-09-03below forecast1 min +36p · 15 min later +28p
- 2025-07-29below forecast1 min +5p · 15 min later +16p
- 2025-07-01above forecast1 min −14p · 15 min later −34p
- 2025-06-03above forecast1 min −58p · 15 min later −86p
- 2025-04-29below forecast1 min +28p · 15 min later +19p
- 2025-04-01below forecast1 min +14p · 15 min later −79p
- 2025-03-11above forecast1 min +1p · 15 min later +23p
- 2025-02-04below forecast1 min +32p · 15 min later +54p
- 2025-01-07above forecast1 min −64p · 15 min later −95p
- 2024-12-03above forecast1 min −26p · 15 min later −60p
- 2024-10-29below forecast1 min +32p · 15 min later +61p
- 2024-10-01above forecast1 min +8p · 15 min later −53p
- 2024-09-04below forecast1 min +96p · 15 min later +54p
- 2024-07-30above forecast1 min −29p · 15 min later −31p
- 2024-07-02above forecast1 min −37p · 15 min later −69p
- 2024-06-04below forecast1 min +64p · 15 min later −50p
- 2024-05-01below forecast1 min +1p · 15 min later +49p
- 2024-04-02in line with forecast1 min −4p · 15 min later +66p
- 2024-03-06above forecast1 min −17p · 15 min later −30p
- 2024-01-30above forecast1 min −31p · 15 min later −127p
- 2024-01-03below forecast1 min +43p · 15 min later +15p