AlphaCircle PoliceAlphaCircle/Police
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Case file · XAUUSD
Channel name hidden · audited anonymously
Channel name hidden
18 May 202616 Jun 2026·29 days·20 signals scored
Win rate · Gold
31.6%
6W / 13L
Pips earned · Gold
-484
realized
Avg RR
1.86
risk / reward

This channel also posts USDJPY — those results are split out in the Results section, since pip values differ per instrument.

Data quality100% literal · 0% inferred
"literal" = entry / SL / TP came verbatim from the channel. "inferred" = the bot reconstructed the level (range midpoint, previous-signal carry-over, or ATR fallback).
Equity curve · cumulative pips · Gold only
19 scored Gold

Every signal stacked into a running total, in the channel's own pips. Each candle opens where the last closed; the wick reaches the best it could have banked. The line climbs as winners bank and sinks when losers give it back. Other pairs this channel posts are excluded here (pip scales differ) and reported separately below.

peak +6530 start-734
Earliest6 wins13 losses-484 pipsLatest
Methodology

Coverage

Every message the scan touched, traced from raw signal to a scored outcome. Nothing is dropped silently.

Drop-off
Scored20 · 57%
Not counted5 · 14%
Skipped10 · 29%
Signals found in the scan35
not a complete gold signal (eligibility filter)10
unsupported symbol10
Tested against real tick-level price data25
not counted — no scoreable outcome5
1still developing — no final outcome yet
4pending order never triggered
Scored signals in this report20
Performance

Results

Every scored signal re-executed against historical tick data, aggregated provider-style.

Win rate
30.0%
6W / 14L scored
Realized pips
-586
actual TP/SL outcome
Potential pips
+4,892
if every TP had been held
Avg RR
1.87
reward per unit of risk

Per instrument— this channel posts more than one pair

Pip totals are not comparable across instruments (one BTC point is not one gold pip), so the headline above blends apples and oranges. Judge each pair on its own line.

PairSignalsWin rateW / LRealized pipsAvg RR
GoldXAUUSD1931.6%6W / 13L-4841.86
USDJPY10.0%0W / 1L-1011.97

Take-profit level distribution— how deep into the targets signals reached

tp1
6

A signal counts as a win if real price touched at least TP1 and the trade finished in profit.

Findings

Observations

Objective observations derived from the backtest. Each one is backed by the exact evidence — make your own call.

TP1 skew

Most signals that reach a target only reach TP1 -- the deeper targets are rarely touched.

tp16
Sample

Sample signals

A representative selection re-executed against tick data. Showing 5 of 20 scored signals — the full signal-by-signal breakdown is not published.

22 MaySELLXAUUSD
+225 pips
Entry @4527.52SL 4540.70TPs hit 1/1
20 MaySELLXAUUSD
-120 pips
Entry @4481.81SL 4493.50TPs hit 0/1
28 MayBUYXAUUSD
+273 pips
Entry @4371.90SL 4358.00TPs hit 1/1
21 MaySELLXAUUSD
-132 pips
Entry @4521.05SL 4534.00TPs hit 0/1
29 MayBUYXAUUSD
+207 pips
Entry @4514.29SL 4503.00TPs hit 1/1

Methodology

Bot version
police-2.0.0
Methodology
v2.0
Generated
16 Jun 2026, 10:17
Audit ID
3704435de722

We extract every trading signal a channel posted, then re-execute each one against historical tick-level price data with a deterministic rule (TP/SL fill on first touch, no slippage). All instruments with price coverage are scored (gold, FX majors, BTC, indices) — and reported per pair, because a pip on one instrument is not a pip on another. Signals from the last 2 days are set aside until their price data settles. A signal whose real fill drifted more than 100 pips from the quoted entry is excluded as stale. A signal counts as a win if the real price touched at least its first take-profit. Nothing is hand-edited.