AlphaCircle PoliceAlphaCircle/Police
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Case file · XAUUSD
Channel name hidden · audited anonymously
Channel name hidden
04 May 202601 Jun 2026·28 days·43 signals scored
Win rate
18.6%
8W / 35L
Pips earned
-4,909
realized
Avg RR
3.05
risk / reward
Data quality100% literal · 0% inferred
"literal" = entry / SL / TP came verbatim from the channel. "inferred" = the bot reconstructed the level (range midpoint, previous-signal carry-over, or ATR fallback).
Equity curve · cumulative pips
43 scored

Every signal stacked into a running total, in the channel's own pips. Each candle opens where the last closed; the wick reaches the best it could have banked. The line climbs as winners bank and sinks when losers give it back.

peak +6210 start-5,802
Earliest8 wins35 losses-4,909 pipsLatest
Methodology

Coverage

Every message the scan touched, traced from raw signal to a scored outcome. Nothing is dropped silently.

Drop-off
Scored43 · 98%
Not counted1 · 2%
Skipped0
Signals found in the scan44
Tested against real tick-level price data44
not counted — no scoreable outcome1
1stale entry — price drifted >100 pips before it could be acted on
Scored signals in this report43
Performance

Results

Every scored signal re-executed against historical tick data, aggregated provider-style.

Win rate
18.6%
8W / 35L scored
Realized pips
-4,909
actual TP/SL outcome
Potential pips
+27,666
if every TP had been held
Avg RR
3.05
reward per unit of risk

Take-profit level distribution— how deep into the targets signals reached

tp1
8

A signal counts as a win if real price touched at least TP1 and the trade finished in profit.

Findings

Observations

Objective observations derived from the backtest. Each one is backed by the exact evidence — make your own call.

TP1 skew

Most signals that reach a target only reach TP1 -- the deeper targets are rarely touched.

tp18
Sample

Sample signals

A representative selection re-executed against tick data. Showing 5 of 43 scored signals — the full signal-by-signal breakdown is not published.

07 MaySELL
+406 pips
Entry @4744.00SL 4774.00TPs hit 1/1
04 MaySELL
-321 pips
Entry @4564.00SL 4594.00TPs hit 0/1
07 MaySELL
+618 pips
Entry @4764.00SL 4774.00TPs hit 1/1
05 MaySELL
-311 pips
Entry @4578.00SL 4608.00TPs hit 0/1
14 MaySELL
+672 pips
Entry @4688.00SL 4708.00TPs hit 1/1

Methodology

Bot version
police-2.0.0
Methodology
v2.0
Generated
5 Jun 2026, 15:10
Audit ID
65d37263924f

We extract every trading signal a channel posted, then re-execute each one against historical tick-level price data with a deterministic rule (TP/SL fill on first touch, no slippage). All instruments with price coverage are scored (gold, FX majors, BTC, indices) — and reported per pair, because a pip on one instrument is not a pip on another. Signals from the last 2 days are set aside until their price data settles. A signal whose real fill drifted more than 100 pips from the quoted entry is excluded as stale. A signal counts as a win if the real price touched at least its first take-profit. Nothing is hand-edited.