AlphaCircle PoliceAlphaCircle/Police
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Case file · XAUUSD
Channel name hidden · audited anonymously
Channel name hidden
08 Mar 202615 Jun 2026·99 days·79 signals scored
Win rate
48.1%
38W / 41L
Pips earned
+3,231
realized
Avg RR
2.48
risk / reward
Data quality100% literal · 0% inferred
"literal" = entry / SL / TP came verbatim from the channel. "inferred" = the bot reconstructed the level (range midpoint, previous-signal carry-over, or ATR fallback).
Equity curve · cumulative pips
79 scored

Every signal stacked into a running total, in the channel's own pips. Each candle opens where the last closed; the wick reaches the best it could have banked. The line climbs as winners bank and sinks when losers give it back.

peak +4,0140 start-1,168
Earliest38 wins41 losses+3,231 pipsLatest
Methodology

Coverage

Every message the scan touched, traced from raw signal to a scored outcome. Nothing is dropped silently.

Drop-off
Scored79 · 62%
Not counted27 · 21%
Skipped21 · 17%
Signals found in the scan127
not a complete gold signal (eligibility filter)21
sl generated3tps generated4duplicate repost12unsupported symbol2
Tested against real tick-level price data106
not counted — no scoreable outcome27
2still developing — no final outcome yet
1stale entry — price drifted >100 pips before it could be acted on
24pending order never triggered
Scored signals in this report79
Performance

Results

Every scored signal re-executed against historical tick data, aggregated provider-style.

Win rate
48.1%
38W / 41L scored
Realized pips
+3,231
actual TP/SL outcome
Potential pips
+34,580
if every TP had been held
Avg RR
2.48
reward per unit of risk

Take-profit level distribution— how deep into the targets signals reached

tp1
38
tp2
21

A signal counts as a win if real price touched at least TP1 and the trade finished in profit.

Findings

Observations

Objective observations derived from the backtest. Each one is backed by the exact evidence — make your own call.

TP1 skew

Most signals that reach a target only reach TP1 -- the deeper targets are rarely touched.

tp138
tp221
Sample

Sample signals

A representative selection re-executed against tick data. Showing 5 of 79 scored signals — the full signal-by-signal breakdown is not published.

12 MarSELL
+480 pips
Entry @5178.00SL 5199.00TPs hit 2/2
11 MarBUY
-231 pips
Entry @5173.00SL 5150.00TPs hit 0/2
20 MarBUY
+280 pips
Entry @4692.00SL 4516.00TPs hit 2/2
12 MarSELL
-105 pips
Entry @5168.00SL 5178.00TPs hit 0/2
25 MarSELL
+230 pips
Entry @4553.00SL 4590.00TPs hit 1/1

Methodology

Bot version
police-2.0.0
Methodology
v2.0
Generated
15 Jun 2026, 17:23
Audit ID
08e2be544933

We extract every trading signal a channel posted, then re-execute each one against historical tick-level price data with a deterministic rule (TP/SL fill on first touch, no slippage). All instruments with price coverage are scored (gold, FX majors, BTC, indices) — and reported per pair, because a pip on one instrument is not a pip on another. Signals from the last 2 days are set aside until their price data settles. A signal whose real fill drifted more than 100 pips from the quoted entry is excluded as stale. A signal counts as a win if the real price touched at least its first take-profit. Nothing is hand-edited.