AlphaCircle PoliceAlphaCircle/Police
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Case file · XAUUSD
Channel name hidden · audited anonymously
Channel name hidden
10 Dec 202512 Jun 2026·184 days·44 signals scored
Win rate · Gold
51.2%
22W / 21L
Pips earned · Gold
+1,015
realized
Avg RR
2.86
risk / reward

This channel also posts EURUSD — those results are split out in the Results section, since pip values differ per instrument.

Data quality97% literal · 3% inferred
"literal" = entry / SL / TP came verbatim from the channel. "inferred" = the bot reconstructed the level (range midpoint, previous-signal carry-over, or ATR fallback).
Equity curve · cumulative pips · Gold only
43 scored Gold

Every signal stacked into a running total, in the channel's own pips. Each candle opens where the last closed; the wick reaches the best it could have banked. The line climbs as winners bank and sinks when losers give it back. Other pairs this channel posts are excluded here (pip scales differ) and reported separately below.

peak +2,2420 start
Earliest22 wins21 losses+1,015 pipsLatest
Methodology

Coverage

Every message the scan touched, traced from raw signal to a scored outcome. Nothing is dropped silently.

Drop-off
Scored44 · 75%
Not counted11 · 19%
Skipped4 · 7%
Signals found in the scan59
not a complete gold signal (eligibility filter)4
unsupported symbol4
Tested against real tick-level price data55
not counted — no scoreable outcome11
11pending order never triggered
Scored signals in this report44
Performance

Results

Every scored signal re-executed against historical tick data, aggregated provider-style.

Win rate
52.3%
23W / 21L scored
Realized pips
+1,046
actual TP/SL outcome
Potential pips
+10,311
if every TP had been held
Avg RR
2.81
reward per unit of risk

Per instrument— this channel posts more than one pair

Pip totals are not comparable across instruments (one BTC point is not one gold pip), so the headline above blends apples and oranges. Judge each pair on its own line.

PairSignalsWin rateW / LRealized pipsAvg RR
GoldXAUUSD4351.2%22W / 21L+1,0152.86
EURUSD1100.0%1W / 0L+300.61

Take-profit level distribution— how deep into the targets signals reached

tp1
23
tp2
13
tp3
9

A signal counts as a win if real price touched at least TP1 and the trade finished in profit.

Findings

Observations

Objective observations derived from the backtest. Each one is backed by the exact evidence — make your own call.

TP1 skew

Most signals that reach a target only reach TP1 -- the deeper targets are rarely touched.

tp123
tp213
tp39
Sample

Sample signals

A representative selection re-executed against tick data. Showing 5 of 44 scored signals — the full signal-by-signal breakdown is not published.

08 JanBUYXAUUSD
+33 pips
Entry @4426.16SL 4421.16TPs hit 1/2
24 FebBUYXAUUSD
-98 pips
Entry @5172.50SL 5165.00TPs hit 0/3
23 FebBUYXAUUSD
+170 pips
Entry @5143.50SL 5138.00TPs hit 3/3
25 FebBUYXAUUSD
-99 pips
Entry @5172.00SL 5164.00TPs hit 0/3
24 FebBUYXAUUSD
+110 pips
Entry @5170.00SL 5164.00TPs hit 2/3

Methodology

Bot version
police-2.0.0
Methodology
v2.0
Generated
12 Jun 2026, 12:39
Audit ID
a674a16a93cc

We extract every trading signal a channel posted, then re-execute each one against historical tick-level price data with a deterministic rule (TP/SL fill on first touch, no slippage). All instruments with price coverage are scored (gold, FX majors, BTC, indices) — and reported per pair, because a pip on one instrument is not a pip on another. Signals from the last 2 days are set aside until their price data settles. A signal whose real fill drifted more than 100 pips from the quoted entry is excluded as stale. A signal counts as a win if the real price touched at least its first take-profit. Nothing is hand-edited.