AlphaCircle PoliceAlphaCircle/Police
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Case file · XAUUSD
Channel name hidden · audited anonymously
Channel name hidden
18 May 202607 Jul 2026·50 days·25 signals scored
Win rate
40.0%
10W / 15L
Pips earned
+7,328
realized
Avg RR
25.85
risk / reward
Data quality78% literal · 22% inferred
"literal" = entry / SL / TP came verbatim from the channel. "inferred" = the bot reconstructed the level (range midpoint, previous-signal carry-over, or ATR fallback).
Equity curve · cumulative pips
25 scored

Every signal stacked into a running total, in the channel's own pips. Each candle opens where the last closed; the wick reaches the best it could have banked. The line climbs as winners bank and sinks when losers give it back.

peak +10,8190 start-1,094
Earliest10 wins15 losses+7,328 pipsLatest
Methodology

Coverage

Every message the scan touched, traced from raw signal to a scored outcome. Nothing is dropped silently.

Drop-off
Scored25 · 68%
Not counted10 · 27%
Skipped2 · 5%
Signals found in the scan37
not a complete gold signal (eligibility filter)2
duplicate repost2
Tested against real tick-level price data35
not counted — no scoreable outcome10
2still developing — no final outcome yet
8pending order never triggered
Scored signals in this report25
Performance

Results

Every scored signal re-executed against historical tick data, aggregated provider-style.

Win rate
40.0%
10W / 15L scored
Realized pips
+7,328
actual TP/SL outcome
Potential pips
+106,225
if every TP had been held
Avg RR
25.85
reward per unit of risk

Take-profit level distribution— how deep into the targets signals reached

tp1
10
tp2
5
tp3
3

A signal counts as a win if real price touched at least TP1 and the trade finished in profit.

Findings

Observations

Objective observations derived from the backtest. Each one is backed by the exact evidence — make your own call.

TP1 skew

Most signals that reach a target only reach TP1 -- the deeper targets are rarely touched.

tp110
tp25
tp33
Sample

Sample signals

A representative selection re-executed against tick data. Showing 5 of 25 scored signals — the full signal-by-signal breakdown is not published.

18 MayBUY
+360 pips
Entry @4549.00SL 4525.00TPs hit 1/3
19 MayBUY
-255 pips
Entry @4540.00SL 4514.50TPs hit 0/3
02 JunSELL
+3,315 pips
Entry @4531.50SL 4542.00TPs hit 3/3
22 MayBUY
-180 pips
Entry @4518.00SL 4500.00TPs hit 0/3
05 JunBUY
+250 pips
Entry @4440.00SL 4422.00TPs hit 1/3

Methodology

Bot version
police-2.0.0
Methodology
v2.0
Generated
7 Jul 2026, 11:25
Audit ID
55810b323ddb

We extract every trading signal a channel posted, then re-execute each one against historical tick-level price data with a deterministic rule (TP/SL fill on first touch, no slippage). All instruments with price coverage are scored (gold, FX majors, BTC, indices) — and reported per pair, because a pip on one instrument is not a pip on another. Signals from the last 2 days are set aside until their price data settles. A signal whose real fill drifted more than 100 pips from the quoted entry is excluded as stale. A signal counts as a win if the real price touched at least its first take-profit. Nothing is hand-edited.