AlphaCircle PoliceAlphaCircle/Police
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Case file · XAUUSD
Channel name hidden · audited anonymously
Channel name hidden
18 May 202615 Jun 2026·28 days·84 signals scored
Win rate
22.6%
19W / 65L
Pips earned
+2,844
realized
Avg RR
6.26
risk / reward
Data quality100% literal · 0% inferred
"literal" = entry / SL / TP came verbatim from the channel. "inferred" = the bot reconstructed the level (range midpoint, previous-signal carry-over, or ATR fallback).
Equity curve · cumulative pips
84 scored

Every signal stacked into a running total, in the channel's own pips. Each candle opens where the last closed; the wick reaches the best it could have banked. The line climbs as winners bank and sinks when losers give it back.

peak +3,6250 start-757
Earliest19 wins65 losses+2,844 pipsLatest
Methodology

Coverage

Every message the scan touched, traced from raw signal to a scored outcome. Nothing is dropped silently.

Drop-off
Scored84 · 69%
Not counted20 · 17%
Skipped17 · 14%
Signals found in the scan121
not a complete gold signal (eligibility filter)17
duplicate repost14unsupported symbol3
Tested against real tick-level price data104
not counted — no scoreable outcome20
1from the last 2 days — price data not settled
19pending order never triggered
Scored signals in this report84
Performance

Results

Every scored signal re-executed against historical tick data, aggregated provider-style.

Win rate
22.6%
19W / 65L scored
Realized pips
+2,844
actual TP/SL outcome
Potential pips
+26,977
if every TP had been held
Avg RR
6.26
reward per unit of risk

Take-profit level distribution— how deep into the targets signals reached

tp1
19

A signal counts as a win if real price touched at least TP1 and the trade finished in profit.

Findings

Observations

Objective observations derived from the backtest. Each one is backed by the exact evidence — make your own call.

TP1 skew

Most signals that reach a target only reach TP1 -- the deeper targets are rarely touched.

tp119
Sample

Sample signals

A representative selection re-executed against tick data. Showing 5 of 84 scored signals — the full signal-by-signal breakdown is not published.

21 MaySELL
+480 pips
Entry @4542.12SL 4551.63TPs hit 1/1
19 MayBUY
-81 pips
Entry @4539.00SL 4531.00TPs hit 0/1
21 MaySELL
+285 pips
Entry @4542.50SL 4551.00TPs hit 1/1
19 MayBUY
-75 pips
Entry @4538.40SL 4531.00TPs hit 0/1
25 MayBUY
+183 pips
Entry @4556.70SL 4549.00TPs hit 1/1

Methodology

Bot version
police-2.0.0
Methodology
v2.0
Generated
15 Jun 2026, 10:31
Audit ID
98f184294a2a

We extract every trading signal a channel posted, then re-execute each one against historical tick-level price data with a deterministic rule (TP/SL fill on first touch, no slippage). All instruments with price coverage are scored (gold, FX majors, BTC, indices) — and reported per pair, because a pip on one instrument is not a pip on another. Signals from the last 2 days are set aside until their price data settles. A signal whose real fill drifted more than 100 pips from the quoted entry is excluded as stale. A signal counts as a win if the real price touched at least its first take-profit. Nothing is hand-edited.